Commodities & Energy Outlook 2026: What Geopolitics, AI and Power Constraints Mean for Investors

Perennial’s latest update outlines a resources market being driven by energy security, geopolitics and structural supply constraints, alongside a rising, capital‑intensive demand impulse from AI infrastructure.

Key themes discussed include the implications of Middle East disruption for oil and LNG, why price impacts can persist due to practical constraints in rerouting supply, and how these dynamics can flow through to inflation and broader industrial activity.

From a portfolio perspective, Perennial reiterates a long‑only, capacity‑constrained approach designed to deliver lower‑volatility commodity exposure, using dynamic allocation and the ability to hold cash when conviction is low.

The team also highlights multi‑year opportunity sets across aluminium, copper, rare earths and uranium, underpinned by power‑hungry AI data centres, electrification and emerging robotics demand, set against long lead times for new supply.

Watch the video above or download the two-page document below for a concise summary of the key insights and takeaways.

Keen for more? Please click here to reach out if you would like to discuss any of the above in more detail.